WSP Model Portfolios are built from our universe of selected active Ucits funds. We manage actively the allocation according to current and expected market conditions and taking into consideration the fund managers’ exposure.
The aim is to demonstrate that an optimal combination of strategies, coupled with a careful selection of active fund managers, have the ability to deliver added-value to investors over the long run, while keeping a full exposure and constant asset allocation within the given investment profiles.
More detailed reporting including portfolio quantitative and qualitative data are available to customers having subscribed to the WS Partners Model Portfolio Services. Would you request more information on this service, please contact us.
Portfolios Structure
- Portfolios are made of 14 to 17 Ucits or Alternative Ucits funds (according to profile).
- Two currency based portfolios ; in US dollar or in Euro.
- Apart one fund with a bi-monthly liquidity, all funds have a daily liquidity.
- Usually we select identical funds either for US dollar or Euro based portfolios, but keeping currency exposure hedge for fixed income funds.
- The performances are shown net of fees, calculated from the cheapest share classes, hence making our Model Portfolios fully replicable.
Strategic Allocations
We keep a constant balance between equity and fixed income strategies according to Model Portfolio profiles and guidelines. We also maintain a neutral currency and regional allocation compare to benchmarks.
The portfolio outperformance should mainly arise from the alpha generated by active management, and to a certain extent to a diversification optimisation. Tactical bets such as investment style (value, growth defensive), sector allocation (e.g., commodities, real estate), interest rate or spread duration may also contribute, time to time, to the value added generation.
A conservative portfolio with a 1/3 equity and 2/3 fixed income allocation.
Within the equity universe we tend to favour yielding strategies rather than pure price appreciation funds.
The objective is to outperform over time a benchmark composed by 1/3 of the MSCI All Country World Index, and by 2/3 of the Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index.
The portfolio aims to outperform a benchmark made of 50% MSCI All Country World Index, and 50% Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index in a risk-adjusted return basis and with a capital preservation mindset.
For that reason, we maintain around 33% of the portfolio allocation into Absolute Return strategies, including Alternative Ucits funds.
The most equity oriented portfolio with the aim to beat a benchmark composed by 2/3 of the MSCI All Country World Index and 1/3 of the Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index. Growth of capital through capital appreciation is the main long term portfolio objective.
Market Review and Outlook
Market Review – 1st Quarter 2021
The first quarter of the year was dominated by rising bond yields and a value-led equity market rally. The two key drivers of this performance were the Democrat victory in Georgia at the start of the year, paving the way for massive further US fiscal stimulus, and the success of the vaccine rollout in the US and UK. It is now just over a year since equity markets bottomed and MSCI world has rallied 79% since then and is 18% above its pre-Covid highs and up 5% year to date. The 10-year US Treasury yield now stands at 1.75%, vs. 0.5% at the low in August and 0.9% at the start of the year.
The rise in bond yields has been closely correlated with significant outperformance for financials and value stocks. Value stocks are up 9.8% ytd compared with 0.3% for growth stocks. Higher commodity prices have also helped value stocks, with oil up 22% and copper up 13% ytd. The common theme driving all these moves has been rising optimism about the outlook for global growth.
March also saw the passage of President Biden’s bumper stimulus package, worth 9% of US GDP. This has led to upgrades in consensus forecasts for US growth this year, with 7% growth now expected. Biden also doubled his vaccination goal from 100 million to 200 million in his first 100 days.
Some investors have worried that the size of the US stimulus, combined with pent-up savings, could lead to a pickup in inflation, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to tighten policy to an extent that could be damaging for equity markets. However, despite upgrading its growth forecasts for this year and expecting unemployment to decline to 4.5% by the end of this year and 3.5% by the end of 2023, the Fed does not believe inflation will be sustainably above target and still expects not to raise rates before 2024.
Outlook
We made no change during the month, neither in the macro positioning of the portfolios explained last month, nor in the portfolio’s composition. We are expecting however to change the portfolios exposure for the second quarter. We had initiated a move from Growth to Value strategies at the end of 2020. We are going to amplify this move in April. We are also going to take some profit in Loans and CLOs after an uninterrupted rally since March 2020 and initiating an exposure in microfinance and in a total return fixed income strategy to reduce our spread duration. Finally, we are also adding two funds in the Absolute Return pocket. A multi-asset and a risk premia strategy.
Performance Review – March 2021
The MSCI ACWI (USD) was up +2.6% during the month while the Barclays Global Aggregate index (USD hedged) was down -0.4%.
Active management had a negative contribution. Over the 27 funds we have in the portfolios, 16 were underperforming their respective benchmark, mainly from equity strategies.
In absolute terms, the Yield & Income portfolio (-0.2%) outperformed the Balanced portfolio (-0.2%) and the Growth portfolio (-0.6%).
Yield & Income Portfolio (USD)
The portfolio underperformed its benchmark by -86bps in March. While our Growth bias had been reduced recently, we are still overweight the style. The style turnover, particularly for small cap companies has been by far the main lagging factor in the portfolio. EM debt was also lagging, hurt by the increase of the 10-year Treasury and a slight spread widening. Overall, active management has a negative contribution of -22bps.
Balanced Portfolio (USD)
The portfolio underperformed its benchmark (-0.2% vs +1.1%). Absolute return strategies were mixed. Merger arbitrage and multi-assets funds continued to perform well while long-short strategies were also hurt by the style turnover. Active management was quite neutral (-5bps).
Growth Portfolio (USD)
The Growth portfolio was the most hurt by the style turnover, underperforming its benchmark by -221bps in March. The growth quality bias in equities affected the relative performance. This was exacerbated by our overweight exposure in small cap equities and the active management contribution (-72bps).
US Dollar Portfolios
USD - Yield and Income
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 0,20% | 0,67% | -0,24% | 0,63% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,51% | -0,28% | 0,62% | -0,17% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | 0,19% | -2,47% | -10,45% | 6,50% | 4,71% | 2,76% | 3,30% | 2,59% | -1,03% | -0,48% | 5,95% | 2,77% | 13,96% |
| Benchmark | 0,81% | -1,89% | -5,60% | 4,64% | 1,62% | 1,37% | 2,46% | 1,45% | -0,80% | -0,83% | 4,49% | 1,73% | 9,40% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 4,59% | 1,67% | 0,63% | 1,97% | -2,39% | 2,91% | 0,90% | -1,11% | 0,95% | 1,69% | 1,37% | 2,17% | 16,26% |
| Benchmark | 3,39% | 0,96% | 1,58% | 1,16% | -1,02% | 3,11% | 0,61% | 0,71% | 0,37% | 0,79% | 0,72% | 1,01% | 14,14% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 2,88% | -1,91% | -0,66% | 0,76% | -0,63% | -0,50% | 1,50% | -0,20% | 0,71% | -3,54% | -0,22% | -2,48% | -4,36% |
| Benchmark | 1,42% | -1,55% | -0,21% | 0,07% | 0,26% | -0,04% | 1,00% | 0,42% | -0,12% | -2,63% | 0,80% | -1,48% | -2,12% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 2,15% | 1,58% | 0,72% | 1,01% | 1,27% | 0,19% | 1,55% | 0,03% | 0,58% | 1,05% | 0,61% | 1,07% | 12,45% |
| Benchmark | 0,68% | 1,49% | 0,35% | 0,95% | 1,10% | -0,06% | 1,13% | 0,71% | 0,32% | 0,95% | 0,73% | 0,63% | 9,36% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | 1,16% | 2,25% | 1,04% | 0,86% | -0,43% | -1,25% | 1,25% | 4,93% | |||||
| Benchmark | 1,04% | 1,81% | 0,06% | 0,17% | -1,23% | -0,86% | 0,84% | 1,81% |
Benchmark: 1/3 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 2/3 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar
USD - Balanced
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 0,61% | 1,39% | -0,24% | 1,77% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,49% | 0,37% | 1,14% | 1,01% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | -0,68% | -2,98% | -8,44% | 5,95% | 3,34% | 2,14% | 3,08% | 2,52% | -0,96% | -0,17% | 6,33% | 3,04% | 12,93% |
| Benchmark | 0,33% | -3,43% | -7,62% | 6,15% | 2,29% | 1,82% | 3,15% | 2,60% | -1,43% | -1,24% | 6,47% | 2,45% | 11,20% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 4,01% | 1,50% | 0,36% | 1,64% | -2,65% | 2,65% | 0,92% | -1,37% | 1,24% | 1,94% | 1,43% | 1,99% | 14,36% |
| Benchmark | 4,50% | 1,38% | 1,48% | 1,71% | -2,24% | 3,97% | 0,54% | -0,06% | 0,80% | 1,28% | 1,15% | 1,63% | 17,18% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 2,75% | -1,59% | -0,42% | 0,82% | -0,97% | -0,54% | 1,49% | -0,32% | 0,78% | -3,58% | -0,07% | -2,11% | -3,84% |
| Benchmark | 2,47% | -2,21% | -0,73% | 0,31% | 0,22% | -0,15% | 1,50% | 0,48% | 0,02% | -3,84% | 0,96% | -2,88% | -3,96% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 1,85% | 1,21% | 0,74% | 0,84% | 0,87% | 0,64% | 1,73% | 0,04% | 1,19% | 1,03% | 0,93% | 0,66% | 12,35% |
| Benchmark | 1,19% | 1,82% | 0,56% | 1,10% | 1,37% | 0,07% | 1,54% | 0,63% | 0,72% | 1,23% | 1,02% | 0,88% | 12,82% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | 0,01% | 2,83% | 0,94% | 0,65% | -0,55% | 0,36% | 1,59% | 5,93% | |||||
| Benchmark | 0,62% | 2,43% | 0,12% | 0,28% | -1,35% | -0,46% | 1,17% | 2,81% |
Benchmark: 1/2 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 1/2 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar
USD - Growth
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 0,55% | 1,37% | -0,56% | 1,37% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,47% | 1,01% | 1,65% | 2,20% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | -0,68% | -4,30% | -9,68% | 8,05% | 3,42% | 2,83% | 4,24% | 3,53% | -1,30% | -0,43% | 8,50% | 3,72% | 17,74% |
| Benchmark | -0,16% | -4,98% | -9,63% | 7,67% | 2,96% | 2,26% | 3,84% | 3,75% | -2,06% | -1,65% | 8,44% | 3,17% | 12,84% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 6,20% | 2,06% | 0,71% | 2,39% | -4,35% | 4,44% | 0,61% | -2,00% | 0,95% | 2,30% | 2,02% | 2,51% | 18,89% |
| Benchmark | 5,61% | 1,81% | 1,38% | 2,27% | -3,47% | 4,83% | 0,46% | -0,83% | 1,23% | 1,77% | 1,57% | 2,25% | 20,23% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 3,65% | -2,87% | -1,07% | 0,82% | -0,44% | -1,19% | 1,66% | 0,54% | 0,00% | -6,66% | 0,64% | -4,12% | -9,06% |
| Benchmark | 3,53% | -2,87% | -1,24% | 0,54% | 0,17% | -0,26% | 2,00% | 0,55% | 0,16% | -5,05% | 1,13% | -4,28% | -5,81% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 2,83% | 1,52% | 1,28% | 1,65% | 1,88% | 0,46% | 2,48% | -0,28% | 1,77% | 1,50% | 1,22% | 1,64% | 19,45% |
| Benchmark | 1,70% | 2,14% | 0,78% | 1,25% | 1,65% | 0,19% | 1,95% | 0,54% | 1,12% | 1,51% | 1,32% | 1,12% | 16,37% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | -1,01% | 4,18% | 1,46% | 1,17% | -1,04% | 0,28% | 1,33% | 6,44% | |||||
| Benchmark | 0,21% | 3,05% | 0,19% | 0,39% | -1,47% | -0,06% | 1,50% | 3,80% |
Benchmark: 2/3 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 1/3 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar
Euro Portfolios
Euro - Yield and Income
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 0,50% | 0,82% | 0,91% | 2,25% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,33% | -0,29% | 1,68% | 1,05% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | 0,53% | -2,09% | -10,15% | 6,30% | 3,67% | 2,35% | 1,21% | 2,26% | -0,36% | -0,38% | 4,70% | 1,75% | 9,18% |
| Benchmark | 1,13% | -1,73% | -5,70% | 4,62% | 1,04% | 1,00% | 0,61% | 1,11% | -0,20% | -0,66% | 3,46% | 0,87% | 5,32% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 4,15% | 1,82% | 1,00% | 1,86% | -2,37% | 1,85% | 1,52% | -0,82% | 1,13% | 0,67% | 1,75% | 1,25% | 14,54% |
| Benchmark | 3,06% | 1,06% | 1,89% | 1,05% | -1,02% | 2,15% | 1,22% | 0,92% | 0,56% | -0,15% | 1,00% | 0,23% | 12,58% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 1,46% | -1,36% | -1,10% | 1,26% | 0,42% | -0,66% | 1,26% | -0,03% | 0,64% | -2,96% | -0,39% | -2,99% | -4,49% |
| Benchmark | 0,04% | -0,99% | -0,65% | 0,53% | 1,28% | -0,21% | 0,78% | 0,45% | -0,21% | -2,02% | 0,66% | -1,98% | -2,37% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 1,24% | 2,08% | 0,35% | 0,20% | 0,10% | -0,38% | 0,23% | -0,41% | 0,61% | 1,46% | -0,20% | 0,56% | 5,97% |
| Benchmark | -0,24% | 2,01% | 0,03% | 0,26% | -0,09% | -0,64% | -0,11% | 0,31% | 0,41% | 1,35% | -0,17% | 0,26% | 3,39% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | 1,12% | 2,05% | 1,00% | 0,53% | 0,20% | -0,23% | 1,34% | 6,16% | |||||
| Benchmark | 1,03% | 1,51% | 0,11% | -0,22% | -0,52% | 0,14% | 0,92% | 3,00% |
Benchmark: 1/3 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 2/3 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar
Euro - Balanced
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 0,84% | 1,41% | 0,73% | 3,01% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,18% | 0,38% | 2,77% | 2,98% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | 0,13% | -2,42% | -8,89% | 5,87% | 2,62% | 1,74% | 1,18% | 2,18% | -0,36% | -0,06% | 5,39% | 2,17% | 9,10% |
| Benchmark | 0,88% | -3,11% | -7,66% | 6,19% | 1,46% | 1,29% | 0,45% | 2,12% | -0,50% | -0,95% | 4,95% | 1,22% | 5,78% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 3,70% | 1,71% | 0,84% | 1,56% | -2,56% | 1,43% | 1,41% | -1,09% | 1,43% | 0,91% | 1,80% | 1,08% | 12,81% |
| Benchmark | 4,15% | 1,66% | 2,07% | 1,69% | -2,11% | 2,68% | 1,56% | 0,37% | 1,20% | -0,01% | 1,66% | 0,59% | 16,49% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 1,08% | -0,82% | -0,91% | 1,60% | 0,42% | -0,67% | 1,30% | -0,19% | 0,71% | -2,76% | -0,21% | -2,66% | -3,16% |
| Benchmark | 0,48% | -1,28% | -1,26% | 1,10% | 1,86% | -0,28% | 1,28% | 0,65% | -0,01% | -2,80% | 0,88% | -3,48% | -2,97% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 0,67% | 1,98% | 0,39% | -0,11% | -0,71% | -0,09% | 0,02% | -0,47% | 1,34% | 0,99% | -0,12% | 0,19% | 4,12% |
| Benchmark | -0,12% | 2,65% | 0,16% | 0,13% | -0,33% | -0,72% | -0,22% | 0,12% | 0,93% | 1,91% | -0,23% | 0,41% | 4,72% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | 0,27% | 2,48% | 1,02% | 0,24% | 0,35% | 1,68% | 1,74% | 8,02% | |||||
| Benchmark | 0,67% | 2,03% | 0,27% | -0,24% | -0,20% | 1,13% | 1,38% | 5,13% |
Benchmark: 1/2 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 1/2 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar
Euro - Growth
Cumulative Performance to end March 2021
Calendar Returns
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2021 | 1,06% | 1,44% | 1,41% | 3,96% | |||||||||
| Benchmark | -0,02% | 1,05% | 3,86% | 4,93% | ||||||||||
| Portfolio | 2020 | 0,07% | -3,39% | -8,86% | 7,92% | 2,08% | 2,18% | 0,65% | 2,86% | -0,13% | -0,14% | 6,55% | 2,18% | 11,49% |
| Benchmark | 0,63% | -4,49% | -9,63% | 7,76% | 1,88% | 1,58% | 0,28% | 2,94% | -0,80% | -1,24% | 6,45% | 1,57% | 5,91% | |
| Portfolio | 2019 | 5,86% | 2,49% | 1,58% | 2,40% | -4,08% | 2,86% | 1,94% | -1,50% | 1,46% | 0,72% | 2,68% | 1,14% | 18,65% |
| Benchmark | 5,24% | 2,25% | 2,25% | 2,32% | -3,20% | 3,21% | 1,90% | -0,19% | 1,84% | 0,12% | 2,32% | 0,94% | 20,48% | |
| Portfolio | 2018 | 1,10% | -1,62% | -1,70% | 1,97% | 1,78% | -1,28% | 1,39% | 0,87% | 0,07% | -5,27% | 0,55% | -4,81% | -7,06% |
| Benchmark | 0,93% | -1,56% | -1,86% | 1,67% | 2,43% | -0,35% | 1,78% | 0,85% | 0,20% | -3,58% | 1,10% | -4,97% | -3,61% | |
| Portfolio | 2017 | 1,24% | 2,58% | 0,76% | 0,29% | -0,22% | -0,54% | 0,21% | -0,93% | 2,03% | 2,43% | -0,28% | 0,98% | 8,82% |
| Benchmark | 0,00% | 3,28% | 0,29% | 0,00% | -0,56% | -0,81% | -0,34% | -0,08% | 1,45% | 2,46% | -0,29% | 0,57% | 6,05% | |
| Portfolio | 2016 | -0,95% | 3,88% | 1,55% | 0,66% | 0,46% | 2,35% | 1,69% | 9,98% | |||||
| Benchmark | 0,31% | 2,56% | 0,42% | -0,26% | 0,12% | 2,13% | 1,83% | 7,28% |
Benchmark: 2/3 iShares MSCI All Country World ETF (EUR) + 1/3 X II Barclays Gbl Agg ETF H EUR
Source: WS Partners, Morningstar